Ideas and race by race preview by Brad Grey for Saturday’s assembly at Rosehill Gardens.
The rail is out 3m the whole, the monitor rated within the Delicate vary (Friday morning) and the primary set to go at 12:50pm.
|Race 1 – 12:50PM CANONBURY STAKES (1100 METRES)|
Have been ready what looks like an eternity for 7. McLaren
to make his debut after trialling so brilliantly. He has gained all three
of his outings and sadly for us punters, he gained his newest in
quick time by close to seven lengths. There went the prospect of getting any
type of worth concerning the Exceed And Excel colt. Even cash would have
even been good. He was requested for an effort in that newest trial however love
the best way he responded. There seems to be loads of high quality about him.
Peter and Paul Snowden practice him and James McDonald rides. The whole lot
factors to a profitable debut, saying himself a Golden Slipper
contender. Ought to be profitable on the skinny odds.
Risks: four. Exceed The Stars was the early favorite
for the Breeders’ Plate again in September. He was a late drifter however
nonetheless began arduous out there. It was a forgettable debut as he was
posted extensive the journey. In his most up-to-date trial he was no match for Time
To Reign however he too trialled nicely. 5. Deep Chill folded up on
debut at Canterbury however he sat outdoors of Simply Zerene and she or he set a
brutal tempo. Punters Intelligence reveals Deep Chill ran a 9.99s cut up
from the 1000-800m! He’s higher than his ending place there
suggests. 7. Magnate hit the road in his most up-to-date trial.
Tips on how to play it: McLaren WIN ($1.60 TAB Fastened Odds)
McLaren gapping his rivals in a Warwick Farm trial – Jan 22
|Race 2 – 1:30PM WIDDEN STAKES (1100 METRES)|
The Widden Stakes for the fillies is rather more open than the colts division! Need to take the punt on three. Intrepidacious
measuring up. The Capturing To Win filly, educated by John O’Shea, ran
her rivals ragged at Canterbury on debut. The time on the night time was solely
truthful, with Punters Intelligence highlighting she had each probability given
the lead velocity, however she by no means seemed like dropping and nonetheless had a bit up
her sleeve. She was tipped straight out after that and after trialling
sweetly at Warwick Farm, her we’re. She’ll slide ahead from the draw
with Tom Marquand driving and can simply want an oz of early luck to
Risks: 5. Mayaaseh did a terrific job on debut within the
Gimcrack after little or no went proper. On the 200m she was nonetheless third
final after being shuffled again within the run on the prime of the straight.
Her final 200m of 11.70s (Punters Intelligence) was second to solely the
winner and stablemate Catch Me. It’s value noting she began the identical
costs as Catch Me and Peter Snowden stated they have been arduous to separate on
expertise. Her Canterbury trial was a lot better than her newer
Rosehill one however she reportedly jarred up on that event. 6. Amercement matched motors with Mayaaseh within the Gimcrack so needs to be within the combine. 1. Avon River will present a key type reference for the depth of Accession’s type as we head to the Inglis Millennium.
How one can play it: Intrepidacious WIN ($5.50 TAB Fastened Odds) and Mayaaseh ($7.50)
Mayaaseh and Amercement within the Gimcrack
|Race three – 2:05PM TAB HIGHWAY PLATE (1500 METRES)|
It’s not excellent to should level out that your Freeway Handicap tip
has run in 5 of those races already and run second in 4 of them
and third within the newest! That’s what faces 12. Nicconita although.
It’s merely a matter of time earlier than she cracks one. She is a backmarker
so doesn’t do herself in favours with that sample however with the
scratching of early favorite La Scopa, she will get her probability. The broad
draw will imply she’ll give away one other massive begin, nevertheless, and it was
the draw that undid her final begin when third behind 10. A Snip Of Cyndy.
Her final 600m of 34.58s (Punters Intelligence), was a size quicker
than A Snip Of Cyndy. Each have drawn vast so Nicconita gained’t be
conceding her a few lengths like final outing.
Risks: 14. Embezzlement cut up A Snip Of Cyndy and
Nicconita final begin. Her benefit is that she’ll be a great distance in
entrance of these two within the run once more. The four-year-old was 1000m to
1400m on that events so can solely enhance. Don’t let her get underneath
your guard even with three. Trumbo and 6. Saarim protecting her firm in entrance. With that setup, think about they’ll run alongside on this. four. Pink Liberty
was an conceited winner at Gunnedah final begin, enhancing sharply third
up. Anticipate him to carry that type now. Ran second to Grunt in a maiden
when he was educated by Danny O’Brien.
The way to play it: Nicconita WIN ($three.90 TAB Fastened Odds)
A Snip Of Cyndy, Embezzlement and Nicconita final begin
|Race four – 2:40PM COUNTDOWN TO GOLDEN SLIPPER HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
7. Bucephalus did every little thing that was anticipated of him on debut
when profitable at Canterbury. It appeared as if You’re Subsequent had dropped
him on the prime of the straight however the Redoute’s Selection three-year-old
picked himself as much as win by close to a size on the end. Straight out to
1400m from 1100m seems to go well with and with Staff Hawkes prepping him,
there’ll nonetheless be a lot extra to return. The barrier (11) appears sticky at
first look however Tommy Berry shouldn’t have an excessive amount of hassle sliding
ahead to take a seat outdoors of 10. Schnapps within the operating. That’ll
give him his probability. You’re largely backing Bucephalus on the scope he
has going ahead however comfortable to on the worth.
Risks: 1. Ljungberg is a curious runner right here and no
doubt exhausting to beat however he’s too properly discovered at $2.60. He had real
excuses when rolled at $1.65 by three. Vegadaze final day trip.
Punters Intelligence reveals it was a really slowly run race so perhaps
being vast wasn’t an excessive amount of of an obstacle? He did cowl an additional four.5m
than the winner that day although and couldn’t have sprinted house a lot
faster than he did, operating his final 600m in 33.18s and his final 200m
in 11.06s. It was only a messy little race so greatest overlook he ever ran.
Gained’t be caught broad right here from barrier 1! four. Positive Knee put all of it
collectively at Canterbury final day trip however they gained’t burn alongside right here
like they did in that race and she or he is again to 1400m.
The right way to play it: Bucephalus WIN ($eight TAB Fastened Odds) and SAVE Ljungberg ($2.60)
Bucephalus profitable on debut at Canterbury
|Race 5 – three:15PM TAB HANDICAP (1400 METRES)|
2. Mapmaker is an unassuming type of horse, suspect that’s why
he tends to open double determine odds in first markets. There’s nothing
flash about him, however he not often runs a nasty race and he strikes a really
appropriate task on Saturday. You have been getting comparable odds about him
in the identical grade of race final begin, the place Candy Scandal was a brief
priced favorite. She gained and Mapmaker ran third. There isn’t any Candy
Scandal right here. Overlook the run previous to that over 1150m towards Straightforward
Eddie. There isn’t a stack of velocity right here so can see Brock Ryan sliding
to the entrance and stacking them up. He loves Rosehill with 14 begins for
three wins and eight placings. Simply needs to be within the cash someplace
Risks: 6. Poetic Charmer hasn’t completed outdoors of
the highest two in 5 runs again this time in. He lacked the killer punch
to beat All Too Royal final day trip when he had each probability to run him
down however that type reference seems to be robust sufficient for this and out to
1400m definitely fits (5:2-1-Zero over the journey). He’s one other one which’ll
be constructive from the extensive draw. eight. Paquirri’s type is far
higher than it reads on paper. He hit the road behind Boomsara within the
Magic Hundreds of thousands Guineas final begin from an unattainable place whereas he
ran out of room at Gosford behind Army Zone previous to that. James
McDonald rode 10. Thy Kingdom Come superbly two again. Maybe he’s the important thing to the horse. three. The Avenger may nonetheless be half a run brief however did greater than sufficient recent.
Methods to play it: Mapmaker EACH WAY ($10 TAB Fastened Odds)
|Race 6 – three:50PM EXPRESSWAY STAKES (1200 METRES)|
All the early help with TAB has been for two. Trapeze Artist. The worth discrepancy was too huge within the first market and is now a greater reflection of their respective possibilities with 6. Alizee
even cash (opened $1.80) and Trapeze Artist $three (opened $four.20). We now have
seen sufficient of Trapeze Artist now to know he doesn’t peak till third
up however he nonetheless usually runs properly recent. He gained this race final yr
sitting outdoors of Memes. I’m hopeful of an identical setup right here, albeit in
a a lot deeper area, stalking doubtless chief four. Dothraki. His
trial wasn’t flash however he did sufficient and didn’t have the blinkers on. It
was a sometimes trial for him. His first up run final marketing campaign was on a
heavy monitor over 1300m and whereas he nonetheless ran properly, this race is a
higher launch pad for his carnival.
Risks: Alizee was dynamite profitable at Randwick first up
after a bleeding assault which noticed her miss the spring. She gave away
weight there and the clock backed up the win, operating 33.07s her final
600m (Punters Intelligence). She cruised into the race superbly
turning for house. The niggling question behind my thoughts together with her is
that traditionally she runs nicely recent earlier than flattening off and discovering
her type once more deeper into the marketing campaign. The distinction right here is that she
is a month between runs so will we see a repeat of her first up run? Or
will she lack the identical ping? She’s in for a monster marketing campaign no matter
occurs. three. Le Romain was excellent profitable first up final
preparation within the Present County. Trapeze Artist has had his measure in
their three earlier outings although.
How you can play it: Trapeze Artist WIN ($three TAB Fastened Odds)
Alizee’s first up win within the Christmas Basic
|Race 7 – four:30PM EVENTS BY ATC HANDICAP (1500 METRES)|
9. Woman Tuesday is best than a benchmark horse. She has gained
4 from 4 and kicking off over 1500m first up means that her
coach Chris Waller could be very eager to guard that unbeaten report for
the time being. She has drawn broad however is usually a tad sluggish away so it
gained’t change something for her. She’ll be allowed to stability up by Kerrin
McEvoy and rush residence within the straight. The clincher was how properly she
trialled at Warwick Farm just lately, coasting to the road. The writing is
already on the wall however suspect we’ll see the emergence of a real
Group class mare as we get into the autumn carnival. If that’s the case,
she’ll want beat these.
Risks: 7. Smartedge hasn’t been leaving the gates
cleanly himself these days which has seen him give away begins. Nonetheless, he’s
more likely to settle in entrance of Woman Tuesday. We all know his degree but when she
isn’t on her recreation, he’s one that would money in. He hit the road onerous
behind Redouble on the Gold Coast final begin and simply missed to Irithea
previous to that. three. Seaway wanted the run first up final time again
and is even longer on the sidelines this time in. He has been gelded in
his break. Resuming over 1500m definitely suggests Waller has hit as match
as he can although. 6. Candy Deal is best than her final begin effort. She was sluggish to get well so overlook that.
The way to play it: Woman Tuesday WIN ($2.60 TAB Fastened Odds)
Woman Tuesday’s Warwick Farm trial – Jan 22
|Race eight – 5:10PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP (2000 METRES)|
Need to take a leap of religion with 18. Nobu however prepared to at
the worth on supply. It’s been a sluggish burn for followers of this horse
ready for him to get out in journey and he lastly acquired out to 1900m at
Canterbury final begin after three runs over 1400m. Though solely a
slender winner, it was a muddling run race being a small subject. The son
of Dependable Man needed to sprint house on the finish, which isn’t actually his go
being a real staying sort. Punters Intelligence reveals he broke 12s
house for his final 200m. The large subject, extra strain and on a much bigger
monitor, we’ll learn how good he’s on Saturday. Apparently, he’s
nominated for the NZ Derby.
Risks: four. Island Missile has ring a string of seconds. He solely has to carry his type to be within the cash once more. 7. Nuhuel
has been superbly positioned to win two on the bounce and deserves
one other crack at a Saturday race. Maintain tabs on how By way of Veneto (second to
him at Canterbury final begin goes on Friday night time). 15. Cyber Intervention and 17. Botti
have been each run off their ft at Warwick Farm final begin earlier than
struggling comparable fates, going to the road exhausting held with a clump of
horses unfold throughout the road in entrance of them. They’ve acquired scope to
enhance out to this journey. Blinkers come off 1. Asterius. They needed to attempt one thing to spark him up.
Methods to play it: Nobu WIN ($11 TAB Fastened Odds)
|Race 9 – 5:50PM RISE UP THIS AUTUMN HANDICAP (1200 METRES)|
three. Paret struck his profitable run second up final time in after a
equally encouraging return. First up the four-year-old moved into the
race properly for Glyn Schofield however being held up from the 400-200m value
him any probability of mowing down Bon Amis. Junglized was second and has
since gained himself. Punters Intelligence highlights that the race was a
actual sit and dash so dropping momentum at any stage was going to be very
pricey. Paret ran his final 200m in 11.02s. Final marketing campaign he tackled
1400m second up and right here he’s over 1200m in order that’s a slight concern however
I’m hopeful that he can settle a contact nearer than we’re used to
seeing, from the great draw. If he’s inside hanging distance he
possesses a flip of foot to select these up.
Risks: It’s truthful to say eight. All Too Royal lacks the
class of a few of his rivals right here however he meets them on the proper time.
He’s match and in profitable type. That is by far his hardest check of his
marketing campaign, nevertheless. 6. Maximus comes proper into the combination with any
rain round. He was pipped by Soothing first up final marketing campaign and attracts
to get the run of the race. The three-year-olds are fascinating runners.
9. Aylmerton is again with Jean Dubois, and trialled properly, whereas it’s the primary time within the seven begin profession of 10. Performer
he has raced outdoors of black sort firm. Pay specific respect to
any late betting strikes for Performer. If the cash comes, it’ll pay to
comply with it.
Learn how to play it: Paret WIN ($three.60 TAB Fastened Odds)
By Brad Grey at RacingNSW
All of the fields, type and replays for Saturday’s Rosehill Gardens assembly
Shayne Heffernan Funds Supervisor at HEFFX holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of buying and selling expertise in Asia and palms on expertise in Enterprise Capital, he has been concerned in a number of begin ups which have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that attain a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen begin ups in Mining, Delivery, Know-how and Monetary Providers.